Colorado Avalanche center Nazem Kadri (91) scores the game-winning goal past Tampa Bay Lightning goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy (88) during the overtime period of Game 4 of the NHL hockey Stanley Cup Finals on Wednesday, June 22, 2022, in Tampa, Fla. (AP Photo/Phelan M. Ebenhack)AP

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The Colorado Avalanche face the Tampa Bay Lightning in Game 5 of the NHL Stanley Cup Finals at Ball Arena on Friday, beginning at 8 p.m. ET.

With the likes of Nathan MacKinnon, Nazem Kadri and Mikko Rantanen, the Avalanche are aiming to beat a Lightning team that includes Steven Stamkos, Nikita Kucherov and Ondrej Palat.

This Game 5 betting analysis for Lightning vs. Avalanche, which features our best bet of the game, is courtesy of BetMGM and powered by Dimers.

BetMGM is giving new users $200 if either the Lightning or Avalanche score a goal in Game 5. Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to claim. No promo code needed.

Game 5 of the 2022 Stanley Cup Finals is at Colorado’s Ball Arena. The winner of the best-of-seven series between the Avalanche and Lightning will be crowned the National Hockey League champion.

Odds and lines are best available at time of publishing and subject to change.

BetMGM has an unbeatable promo for Tampa Bay vs. Colorado, giving new users $200 if either team scores a goal. Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to get started.

Using cutting-edge data and machine learning, Dimers has simulated Lightning vs. Avalanche 10,000 times.

Dimers’ famous predictive analytics model, known as DimersBOT, gives the Avalanche a 59% chance of defeating the Lightning in Game 5 of the NHL Stanley Cup Finals.

Elsewhere, according to DimersBOT, the Lightning (+1.5) are a 64% chance of covering the puck line. The Over/Under total of 6 goals is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

As always, predictions and probabilities are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Our best bet for Lightning vs. Avalanche in the Game 5 of the NHL Stanley Cup Finals is Lightning moneyline (+155).

Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to place a wager with BetMGM.

Our betting tips are based on detailed simulations and wagering intelligence to help you make more informed decisions.

While the Avalanche are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Lightning moneyline is the best option because of the 1.7% edge identified when comparing Dimers’ data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks’ odds.

Prop bets are a common way to wager on Lightning vs. Avalanche without necessarily betting on the outcome of Game 5 itself.

Who will score the first goal in Tampa Bay vs. Colorado? Featured below are the most likely first and anytime goal scorers for both the Lightning and Avalanche.

Colorado’s Nathan MacKinnon is most likely to score the first goal in Game 5, according to DimersBOT.

DimersBOT gives MacKinnon a 7.3% chance of scoring the first goal on Friday. The Avalanche star is a 35.9% chance of netting an anytime goal.

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Friday’s game between the Lightning and Avalanche in the 2022 NHL Stanley Cup Finals at Ball Arena is scheduled to start at 8 p.m. ET.

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If you or a loved one has questions or needs to talk to a professional about gambling, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit 1800gambler.net for more information.

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